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Geo-Based Incrementality Testing

Measure what your ads really drive.

Stop Paying for Ads That Would Have Converted Anyway.

Attribution models are misleading. They divide up credit, but they cannot test true causality. So in addition, use data-science grade Geo-Experimentation.

  • 100% Privacy-Safe: Requires zero user-level tracking. Completely future-proof against iOS/cookie changes.
  • Turnkey Automation: We automated the advanced Statistical modeling. Go from raw spend data to defensible lift metrics.
  • Cross-Channel Support: Built for Google, Meta, TikTok, CTV, or any channel you can target by region.
Request My Custom Test Design
  • Test markets (channel goes dark)
  • Synthetic control twin (stays on)
  • Excluded low-spend regions

The Attribution Trap: Credit vs. Causality

“Which of your ad channels are actually driving incremental revenue, and which are taking credit for sales that would have happened anyway?”

Standard attribution models look accurate in a dashboard, but they fail to answer the only question that matters to your bottom line: If we turned this channel off tomorrow, would our revenue actually drop?

To uncover the truth, you have to run a “go-dark” test in select regions and measure it against an unexposed control group. Historically, executing this rigorously required data scientists and advanced statistical modeling.

Our platform automates the complex math so you can protect your ad budget from waste.

Data-Science Grade Rigor

Automated Synthetic Controls

Simply upload your sales and spend history by region (US DMAs, states, or custom geographies). The platform automatically excludes regions where your channel barely spends, selects up to five optimal test markets, and blends the remaining regions into a highly accurate “synthetic control twin” that perfectly tracked your test markets historically.

You Control the Risk Profile

Every candidate design declares its Minimum Detectable Effect (MDE). This lets you pick your exact point on the tradeoff curve: fewer dark markets means less revenue disruption during the test, while more dark markets buys you a sharper, finer reading of your true incrementality.

Fail-Safe Go/No-Go Gates

Before anything launches, the platform executes Placebo Rehearsals on quiet stretches of your historical data where the true effect is zero—ensuring the design doesn't flag false positives. A Detectability Check then verifies your paused spend is large enough to produce a drop the design can actually see. If the test cannot work, the platform tells you upfront so you keep your budget safe.

Clean Isolation & Data Integrity

Once live, the platform automatically splits the go-dark period into latency, washout, and clean testing windows. This ensures yesterday's lingering impressions do not contaminate the measurement. Finally, it mathematically updates the true ad stock / half life of ads, and uses that for the final reports.

The Output: Unassailable Truth for Your CMO & CFO

Realized iROAS & iCPA

Get the definitive drop versus your synthetic twin accompanied by a clear confidence interval. Discover your true incremental Return on Ad Spend (incremental revenue per dollar of paused spend) or incremental Cost Per Acquisition for lead-gen tracking.

Dual-Model Cross-Checking

Results are independently validated using Synthetic Difference-in-Differences (SDID)—a structurally distinct method. If the two analytical methods diverge, the platform flags and investigates the disagreement. We never average away the truth.

Downstream MMM Calibration

Seamlessly feed your newly measured carryover decay curves and effect priors straight into your Media Mix Modeling (MMM) stack, establishing an unassailable ground-truth audit of your broader attribution framework.

See it in action

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Find Out If Your Spend Is Ready For An Incrementality Test

Don't guess where your next ad dollar should go. Tell us a little about your spend, and we'll analyze your data and design a test that fits your brand.

🔒 Takes less than 2 minutes • We reply within 24 hours • Zero commitment required