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Media Mix Model

Finally know which channels actually drive revenue.

The Problem

Last-click attribution lies. Your CFO wants proof that marketing spend is working. A media mix model delivers it — decomposing revenue into the true contribution of each channel, accounting for adstock effects, diminishing returns, and cross-channel interaction.

How It Works

1

Data Integration

We connect your media spend, revenue, and contextual data into a unified dataset.

2

Bayesian Modeling

We fit a Bayesian MMM with adstock transforms, saturation curves, and informative priors.

3

Budget Optimization

We generate optimal budget allocations across channels based on marginal ROI curves.

4

Calibration

We calibrate model outputs against holdout tests and provide an ongoing refresh framework.

What You Get

  • Channel-level ROI estimates with confidence intervals
  • Optimized budget allocation recommendations
  • Scenario planner for what-if budget analysis
  • Calibration framework using holdout or incrementality tests
  • Executive summary for stakeholder communication

Who It's For

Brands spending $50K+/month on paid media across 3+ channels who need to justify and optimize their marketing budget.

What This Looks Like in Practice

A multi-channel retailer spending $400K/month across Meta, Google, TikTok, and TV couldn't agree on which channels deserved more budget. Our MMM revealed that TV had 3x the attributed ROI of what last-click showed, while Meta was hitting steep diminishing returns. Reallocating 15% of Meta budget to TV generated an estimated $180K in incremental quarterly revenue.

Starting at $10,000 for initial model build

Ready to get started?